Here are some of the key races for Congress and the Senate voters may want to keep an eye on as Election Day is only 10 days away:

The most competitive midterm elections in 2026—Talaricoton tied in Fox News Poll (Update, Paxdly) Democrat Troy Jackson and Republican Senator are tied in Maine. In the most recent Fox News survey, which was conducted on Oct. 23.

Ohio: Democratic former Sen. Sherrod Brown leads GOP Sen. In the Fox News survey, which was last updated on Oct. 22.





Texas: In a Fox News poll, Talarico and Paxton share 49%, while in an Emerson College poll (updated October), Talarico leads by one point, 49% to 48% (22).

Ohio: Democratic former Sen. Sherrod Brown leads GOP Sen. In the Fox News survey, which was last updated on Oct. 22.
Former Democratic Governor of North Carolina Roy Cooper is up 10 percentage points, 49% to 39%, over former Republican National Committee chair Michael Whatley (updated Oct. 22).
Rep. for the state of Iowa, Democrat Josh Turek, is ahead of Republican Ashley Hinson 46% to 44% in the Cook poll (updated Oct. 21).

Michigan: Democrat Abdul El-Sayed is ahead of Republican Rep. Mike Rogers 50% to 48% in the latest Marist University survey (updated Oct. 21).
Florida: Democratic state Rep. and Senate Republican leader Sen. Ashley Moody 45% to 49% in a poll from the University of North Florida (updated Oct. 21).
Democratic Senator from Georgia Jon Ossoff is ahead of Republican Rep. An Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll (updated October) showed Mike Collins leading by 48% to 40% (21).
Minnesota: Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads Republican former NFL reporter Michele Tafoya 45% to 42% in a KSTP/SurveyUSA poll (updated Oct. 15).
Maine: Democratic candidate Troy Jackson is leading in the race against incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins 49% to 47%, a new Suffolk University poll (updated Oct. 14).

Democratic Rep. in New Hampshire Chris Pappas is leading his Republican opponent, former Sen. John Sununu, 51 percent to 44 percent, as stated by a St.
Despite the fact that 4% of respondents to the Anselm College poll said they were unsure or would vote for a third candidate (updated October 7).
Kansas: Republican Sen. The most recent New York Times/Siena poll, which was conducted in October, shows that Roger Marshall leads Democrat Adam Hamilton, who is a pastor at the largest United Methodist church in the country, by 47% to 46% (7).
Former Democratic Rep. of Alaska Mary Peltola is ahead of Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan 50% to 43% among voters 50 and older in a new New York Times/Siena poll (updated Oct. 3).
Here are a few things to think about that the mainstream media has seriously chosen to downplay...or maybe even completely ignore.
First factor: Latest polls indicate that Democratic candidates for the House of Representatives are gaining political ground, with the possibility of winning anywhere from 10 to 17 seats. Despite the fact that Republican support has outspent Democratic support by three to one for every dollar used, this is the case.
A second factor: early voting is starting to have an immediate impact even where Republicans hold major ground in states like Texas, Alaska, Georgia, and Maine, where they are chosen to downplay...or maybe even completely ignore. To this point, polls in some of the country's key political races are taking place for the House of Representatives and the US Senate. Democratic candidates have gained voter support that's increased even in the last 90 days.

A third factor: Trump's unpopular policies with the tariffs, which are actually taxes on the American people, have really taken their toll, which has increased prices on basic items like gasoline, food, utilities, and rent/lease/mortgages all substantially within the last 18 months. Supporters have left disappointed and dissatisfied. Voter sentiment is largely disapproving in polls.
A fourth factor: Consistent efforts to redraw or gerrymander voting districts in every other state so that it favors Republicans rather than Democrats have largely backfired and/or been judicially filed lawsuits from law advocate groups and organizations through the lower courts, and Trump has cases in the lower courts by 80% case after case that have been thrown out or dismissed.

A fifth factor: Trump's use of the Justice Department, FBI, and ICE to target citizens and initiate investigations against his political enemies or anyone he believes poses a threat to his political agenda has sparked conflict with the Republican Party and administration. Plus the mass exodus of federal prosecutors from the Justice Department has caused a diminishment in the professional quality of lawyers willing to handle federal cases.
The new factor is early voting going on in every other state right now. To date, 10 million Americans have already cast their votes, and the number has increased steadily since early voting began in September. Despite efforts by Trump's administration to halt, delay, or gerrymander the process, Democrats currently outnumber Republicans in early voting.

Democrats have a 91.5 percent chance of winning the House. 37%. This is Trump's approval rating according to the Silver Bulletin polling average. A number of surveys in recent months have shown that Trump's approval rating is at all-time lows as people become more and more fed up with the Iran war and how it affects the economy. Even though Trump's approval rating is lower than that of most modern presidents at this point in their terms, the president's party has historically performed poorly in midterm elections. This is due to a combination of factors, such as low turnout in a non-presidential election year and the motivation of voters who view the midterms as a referendum on the president's agenda.

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